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China's mainland second-quarter GDP fell below expectations, while the Hang Seng Index is expected to find support at the 200-day moving average

    stock market

    Thetrump coin crypto Hang Seng Index opened higher last Friday but remained at the day's high level. Subsequently, it fluctuated back and forth, mostly trading in the range of 19,360 to 19,500. The index had a daily volatility of 170.22 points with a trading volume of 91.25 billion yuan. The Hang Seng Index and the H-shares Index rose by 0.33% and 0.23% respectively, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.2%.

     

    After rising to a high since June 21, the Hang Seng Index closed with a bearish candlestick and filled the gap from the previous day's decline. Fortunately, it managed to rise above the 250-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and stay above it. The MACD bull divergence widened, with 794 stocks rising and 855 stocks falling throughout the day. Overall market conditions were slightly weak, not as strong as the index, with a slight hint of "buy on dips" sentiment.

     

    Cathay Pacific (0293) announced positive financial results at noon, expecting a consolidated net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately HK$4 to HK$4.5 billion for the first half of 2023. In contrast, the company recorded a net loss attributable to shareholders of HK$4.999 billion in the same period last year. Cathay Pacific's stock price rose in the afternoon, closing with a 4.68% increase.

     

    The Hong Kong stock market was closed on Monday, July 17th, due to the impact of a typhoon. However, other markets continued to operate, and the A-share market weakened, possibly due to Mainland China's second-quarter GDP growth of 6.3%, which was lower than expected.

     

    The US stock market has been fluctuating positively, but ADRs are declining. The Hang Seng Index is expected to weaken, with support at the 200-day Simple Moving Average (around 19,253).


    individual stock

    Changfei Fiber Optic Cable (6869) primarily engages in the production and sale of various standard specifications of fiber optic preforms, optical fibers, and optical cables widely used in the telecommunications industry. The company also provides other related products and services.

     

    In the first quarter of 2023, the group's revenue reached 3.195 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.53%. Shareholders' net profit amounted to 241 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 18.4%. The increase in net profit is attributable to the company's internationalization and diversification efforts during the period, as well as the rise in sales of key products.

     

    On the other hand, the Ministry of Commerce has decided to initiate a final review investigation on the anti-dumping measures applicable to imported optical fiber preforms originating from Japan and the United States, effective from July 11, 2023. In addition, China Mobile recently announced the centralized procurement results for standard optical cable products from 2023 to 2024, with Chongqing Linkong Fiber Optic Cable Co., Ltd. and thirteen other fiber optic cable companies winning bids. Among them, Chongqing Linkong Fiber Optic Cable Co., Ltd. has won a bid share of 19.36%. Furthermore, a major bank pointed out that with the mutual promotion of mainland data center construction and network traffic growth, it is expected to support the continuous growth of demand for optical fiber cables, benefiting the group's business.

     

    The group's stock price has recently been trending upward, and there are signals in the financial technology system. The group's valuation is relatively low compared to its peers. If valued at a P/E ratio of 7.5, the group's target price is 12.94 yuan.


    The author is a licensed person of the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and does not hold the aforementioned shares. The above article represents personal opinions.


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